2025-10-13 Market Watch: Crypto markets rebound as US-China trade tensions ease, fueling Q4 optimism

Market Analysis
1

Here is what happened yesterday in the crypto market:

China and US Soften Trade Rhetoric, Boosting Crypto Markets

Following a weekend of market volatility, both the US and China have signaled a willingness to resume trade negotiations, leading to a modest reversal in crypto markets. China’s Commerce Ministry reiterated its rare-earth export controls are national security measures, not blanket bans, and will issue licenses for eligible trade. This de-escalation offers hope for a market rebound.
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Q4 Crypto Surge Expected: Historical Trends, Fed Shift, and ETF Demand Align

As the final quarter of 2025 begins, crypto investors are looking at a historically favorable period, especially for Bitcoin. Q4 has traditionally shown strong returns for Bitcoin, coupled with anticipated shifts in Federal Reserve policy and growing demand for Bitcoin ETFs, setting the stage for a potential surge.
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Altcoins Cratered in Flash Crash While Bitcoin Held Up, Says Wiston Capital

The recent crypto market sell-off was a rapid, leverage-driven event that disproportionately impacted altcoins, while Bitcoin demonstrated comparative resilience. Wiston Capital notes that the next market phase will depend on several key signals, underscoring the divergent performance of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies during the crash.
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Binance Attributes Altcoin “Crash to Zero” to Display Issue, Not Actual Depegging

Following reports of several altcoins, including Cosmos’s ATOM, briefly appearing to crash near zero on its platform, Binance clarified that these occurrences were due to a display issue and not an actual depegging of the tokens. The exchange has also committed $283 million to compensate users affected by collateral asset depegging incidents during the October 10 market turmoil.
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ETH Futures Stabilize After Flash Crash, Suggesting Potential Rebound Towards $4.5K

Ethereum’s futures markets are showing signs of stabilization following the recent crypto flash crash. Distortions in ETH’s perpetual contracts are fading, with monthly futures signaling neutral conditions and a reduction in short-term market fear. Options markets also indicate balanced demand, positioning ETH for a potential reclaim of the $4,500 level.
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Interesting developments across the board — looks like the crypto market is finally catching its breath after a rough weekend. The easing trade tensions between the US and China could definitely inject some confidence back into global markets, including crypto. The fact that Bitcoin held relatively strong during the altcoin wipeout says a lot about where investor trust currently lies.

If ETH futures keep stabilizing and the Fed maintains its softer stance, we might actually see that classic Q4 rally play out again. Still, I think retail confidence needs more than just optimism — watching ETF inflows and institutional sentiment will be key in the coming weeks.

3

I think the main drivers for longer term pressure are money supply and interest rates, the rest is usually just noise. Looks like the fed is going to cut interest rates, so that can only benefit crypto, we are still in a bull market in my opinion. When they start thinking about increasing the interest rates again is when I will be positioning for a possible downturn.