Extreme BTC Accumulation Strategy

Context

For the past 451 days I’ve been buying a fixed USDT worth BTC daily at UTC midnight. It’s a simple stupid approach, and my current average buy price is 93.5k.

As bearish sentiment and sideways action grip the crypto market,
I want to accelerate accumulation but also use the BTC bag
Therefore I’m adding a Short Spot Combo Bot component to my strategy with TP in base BTC
Bot link: Gainium app

The idea

Sell BTC in pumps, then use the combo grid to buy it back cheaper during sideways/downward movement, increasing total BTC over time.

Risk & Logic

The main risk is selling all your BTC bag during a strong pump.
My settings upward deviation is 50%, meaning if BTC jumps from ~90k to 135k, the bot will fully sell my bag.
At 135k price, my average sell price is ~110k (ignoring grid profits).
With a 93.5k avg buy price, that’s an 18% gain—not ideal for accumulation, but still profitable.
Worst case: I profit but lose BTC exposure.
Best case: I accumulate more BTC across all market conditions.

Maths & Parameter Sensitivity

The bot’s order sizes, safety orders, and minigrids are tuned specifically to my 93.5k average price and the price trading range (< ~77.5k).
These settings do not generalize to others

Example:
If say average buy price is 90k and BTC drops to 70k, my settings would cause them to sell their entire bag at 105k for an Avg sell price ~85k — creating an unrealized loss until short TP buys back the BTC
To avoid this, settings must be recalculated whenever:

  • BTC enters a new price ranges
  • Your average buy price changes (daily buys affects this)

A static price filter can prevent the bot from opening shorts outside safe ranges.
Monthly or quarterly reviews are usually enough, since BTC often trades in price ranges for months.

Summary

This is an advanced strategy for people comfortable with math, understanding grid spacing, and deviation management.
AI can help in this but gotta understand to see if AI is doing its job correctly
We all want to buy BTC but are scared if we are buying locals tops but this strategy gives an entire lifecycle plan.
You can start by buying a lump sum BTC and running a short combo bot immediately, but daily BTC buys help keeps your average buy low—especially in bear markets—reducing the upside deviation needed for a zero loss exit and keeping grid spacing tight.

If BTC trades above the avg buy price I suggest pausing the daily buys as you don’t want to push up the avg buy price.
But again that depends what the avg sell price of the short settings will be.

If you prefer gaining USDT instead of BTC, simply switch TP to quote.

The BTC bag will essentially act like a stock giving you dividends in USD

Happy trading :slight_smile:

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Thanks for sharing! I’ve been doing something similar for a couple of years. Btc is 50% of my portfolio, I bought It cheap but letting it sit isn’t the best strategy. 50% upside coverage may be fine now, but I would increase it at some point. My coverage is around 100%, and I started selling at 80k, so when the 126k ATH I had already sold a substantial portion (partially recovered through grid). Luckily, btc came down and I was able to make a good chunk. The deal took over 6 months to close though, so it’s a long term passive strategy.

I’ve set orders fixed in btc, which means it makes a lot more profit at the top of the grid.

This is passive income is what I mentioned in my strategy a while back I've switched my spot hedge strategy to shorts-only, here is why. Still running it.

Yeah definitely a long term strategy as BTC at 126k might have felt like a runaway train and return to sub 90k took a while

Been more than a month shorting my BTC bag and these are the results

As you can see in Cycle 1
The BTC qty is going up and due to this the avg price keeps going down

In the the background i keep buying BTC daily and at some point maybe after a quarter will give the short bot access to the additional BTC and start a fresh Cycle

1 Like

gentlemen: @Iamtheonewhoknocks and @aressanch how is your BTC Spot-short strategy doing ?… I’m specially curious about this downtrend of 35% in 3 months

how has developed your BTC-USDT ratio in your portfolio?

this is for me to understand, I imagine you got now more BTC but are you buying it with USDT from the past profits or some injection of new fiat into your wallets?

My btc combo did almost 4% in a little less than 3 months. I have very conservative settings so this result is expected for btc. I have stopped all shorts now because I don’t esnt to start deals at the bottom, I will turn them back on once prices stabilizes a bit.

Thanks Ares :+1:

I have a low price threshold of 70k for BTC below which the bot didnt start new short deals.
The lower BTC goes the harder it gets for the short combo spot bot to be profitable as up side deviation and grid order sizes/spacing need to be recalculated

But I am still buying BTC daily to reduce avg price on the long side

Thinking to switch to binance to reduce fees using BNB or Hyperliquid but not sure if thats even possible